What will happen to the United States in the war against Ira

 时间:2019-06-11 10:21 来源:参考消息责任编辑:张焱
   The Pentagon has said it will send about 120000 troops in the war against Iran. This strength is roughly the same as that of the US military in the first phase of the Iraq War. Given the many means of Iran mentioned above, it may be difficult for 120

Relations between the United States and Iran have remained tense recently. The two countries have fundamental differences in their views on the Iran nuclear agreement, are afraid of each other's military affairs in the Middle East, and the "war of words" between the senior military and political levels of the two countries has gradually escalated. In the event of the decision of the United States to deploy aircraft carrier battle groups and additional troops to the surrounding areas of Iran, as well as the threat to use 120000 US troops to wage war against Iran when the conflict broke out, Senior US military officials also recognize that the possibility of military confrontation between the United States and Iraq is increasing. Recently, the US military Times published relevant articles on the prospect of a large-scale conflict between the United States and Iraq. Test.
 
The article holds that although the United States and Iraq are in the stage of "war of words" and "showing muscle", the direct force conflict is still in the deductions and plans of the two sides, but some actual deployment actions have been taken by the armed forces of the United States and Iraq. In addition, there are many factors that may induce conflict in the Gulf region, so that military action has gradually become a realistic option for both sides to consider carefully. For reasons of "planning in advance," Defense Department officials in charge of combat planning and intelligence have begun to assess possible operational patterns and consequences of the conflict between the United States and Iraq. The results of the assessment released by the US media show that in the large-scale conflict, the combat environment faced by the US military may be difficult to call "happy". View ".
 
Iran has as many as 540000 regular troops and about 350000 reservists, including about 125000 members of the Revolutionary Guard with extensive informal combat experience, the article said. Due to decades of blockade and arms import restrictions imposed by western countries on Iran, there is a big gap between the technical level of conventional equipment of the Iranian army and that of the US military. However, the Iranian army also has many "killer mace" enough to pose a greater threat to the US military in the Middle East, including revolutionary guards and Shiite militia groups widely distributed in many countries in the Middle East, and various types of missiles with a large inventory. And electronic and cyber attacks. The article followed Detailed discussion of the weapons and laws of war that the Iranian military might use to threaten the U.S. military. 
 
Maritime battlefield
 
In the face of frequent "demonstrations" by aircraft carrier battle groups in the Persian Gulf, it is difficult for the Iranian navy, with shore-based missiles and small ships at its core, to compete head-on with it. However, with specific equipment, familiar battlefield environment, and the geographical conditions of the narrow waterways in the Persian Gulf and Hormuz Strait, the Iranian navy still has many means of killing and killing American troops. U. S. media believe the Iranian navy will use a large number of small ships, drones and mines to attack ships from the United States Navy to the Persian Gulf and even the Arabian Sea. Among them, the biggest threat to the US military is the Iranian submarine capable of carrying small anti-ship missiles, as well as small submersible voyages equipped with Torpedo. Apparatus. The above weapons rely on batteries and are stable, and it is not easy to detect their activities by the Sonar of US ships. In addition, the coastal defense system composed of mines and shore-based anti-ship missiles can also effectively increase the risk of the US Navy.
 
Because most of the U.S. military bases in the Gulf are within the scope of Iran's long-range weapons, its aircraft carrier battle group will play an important role once the US military goes to war against Iran. However, under the deterrence of these weapons, it may be difficult for the US Navy to assemble several aircraft carrier battle groups along the Persian Gulf coast, as it did during the Iraq War. If the U. S. Navy is forced to operate far from the coast of Iran and key targets, the impact of the U. S. military will be greatly reduced.
 
Air battlefield
 
Us experts believe that if the use of force against Iraq, large-scale air strikes will become a high-performance, low-cost choice. However, given Iran's self-developed complete air defense and early warning system, it is difficult for the US air force to gain absolute air control rights like the battlefield in Iraq and Afghanistan. Relying on the Russian Sch 300 anti-aircraft missile system and a variety of homemade air defense systems, the Iranian army will effectively combat the incoming US military fighters. The U. S. military may need to use stealth fighters such as F 22 and F 35 to break through Iran's air defense system. At the same time, the US military will also have to accept a certain degree of fighter and personnel losses. .
 
Ground battlefield
 
Given Iran's large army and vast territory, American experts believe a large ground offensive against Iran will not be considered by the United States. In the war against Iran, the United States Army will rely on its Patriotic air defense and anti-missile system, army aviation and artillery to carry out long-range strikes and theater defense against Iran. In addition, the US Army will also provide protection for widely deployed US military bases around Iran. However, the US media believe that although the US Army does not intend to attack on its own initiative, it is also facing considerable operational risk.
 
American media say the Iranian Revolutionary Guards have been operating in the Gulf for many years and have extensive combat experience in Syria, Iraq, Lebanon and Yemen. At the same time, Hezbollah and Shiite militia forces in various countries will also work with Iranian forces to fight. During the war, various pro-Iranian armed groups will use improvised explosive devices, rocket attacks and tunnel attacks to launch extensive attacks on US troops and US allies. Because the armed forces are deeply rooted on the ground, it will be difficult to completely eliminate these threats unless the US military is determined to launch a large-scale ground offensive.
 
Missile warfare
 
Iran is equipped with a wide range of cruise and ballistic missile systems ranging from 300km to 2500 km, according to a report released by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS). During the war, these missiles not only put U. S. troops in the Middle East within range, but also extended the range of strikes to U. S. bases in Central Asia, Turkey, Africa and Southeast Europe. While expanding the scope of the attack to the above-mentioned countries would pose more security risks, it could also further limit the freedom of movement of the US military and increase Iran's leverage against the United States.
 
Based on the assessment of the Iranian threat in various battlefield environments by the US military, Iran will carry out omni-directional killing and blocking of the US military and restrict the free deployment of the US military in a large battlefield space. It can even use force to "kidnap" American allies in the Middle East and increase U.S. security risks and decision-making obstacles. In this case, the US Defense Department is likely to be stretched out of strength to fight against Iran. Earlier, the Pentagon had said it would send about 120000 troops in the war against Iran. This strength is roughly the same as that of the US military in the first phase of the Iraq War. Taking into account the many means of Iran mentioned above, 1 I am afraid that 20,000 troops will be difficult to meet the needs of the Iraq war.

(text / Vernon)


 
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